Week 3: Ranking The Rankers — I’m Sensing A Pattern

Is anybody actually “good” at fantasy football? Ranking the Rankers is an ongoing experiment to try to answer this question. Each week 12 fantasy experts play each other in head-to-head matchups, based on their weekly player rankings. They also play a dim-witted computer algorithm named DAMO (Dumb-Ass Machine Orderer). For the details of how it all works, read this post.

Week 3 Results

Ranker Site W L PDPM W (yr) L (yr) PDPM (yr)
Chris Harris ESP 12 0 10.3 34 2 9.2
Tristan Cockcroft ESP 10 2 9.2 17 19 1.4
Marcus Grant NFL 10 2 5.8 23 13 3.1
Eric Karabell ESP 9 3 7.1 13 23 -2.6
Michael Fabiano NFL 9 3 5.3 29 7 8.9
Adam Rank NFL 7 5 0.6 12 24 -3.1
Matthew Berry ESP 6 6 -1.1 24 12 3.4
Jason Smith NFL 5 7 -2.0 17 19 -1.1
Jamey Eisenberg CBS 4 8 -4.8 18 18 0.7
Dave Richard CBS 3 9 -4.6 16 20 1.4
Composite Ranker NFL 2 10 -5.4 16 20 0.6
Nathan Zegura CBS 1 11 -8.7 15 21 -2.4
DAMO JZL 0 12 -11.7 0 36 -19.3

Best Calls
QB: Drew Brees over Aaron Rodgers, 13.7 PDPM
RB: Jason Snelling over Reggie Bush, 15.7 PDPM
WR: Josh Gordon over Eddie Royal, 12.9 PDPM
TE: Jordan Cameron over Owen Daniels, 9.0 PDPM
KR: Ryan Succop over Alex Henery, 7.3 PDPM
DF: Bears DST over Broncos DST, 11.1 PDPM

Weekly Thoughts
I guess the experiment isn’t going to be can DAMO compete with the best human rankers; it’s going to be can DAMO win a single matchup.  Chris Harris is the big winner this week, bringing his record on the season to 34-2.  Impressive, but it’s still way too early to start drawing any conclusions.

All Matchup Scores
Cell (x, y) is the number of points ranker x scored against ranker y in their matchup. Bold denotes a winning score for ranker x.

HAR COCK MGR KARA FAB RANK TMR JAS JAM RICH NFL ZEG DAMO
HAR 0.0 33.9 32.2 32.4 31.0 34.7 38.0 35.2 42.9 38.4 41.1 40.1 39.7
COCK 30.2 0.0 31.5 29.1 38.3 36.1 34.6 38.1 43.4 38.6 38.4 43.0 37.9
MGR 29.2 26.5 0.0 29.5 30.6 32.4 34.6 35.1 38.4 35.3 35.0 37.7 36.1
KARA 30.8 32.0 29.5 0.0 29.4 34.0 37.0 34.2 39.3 35.2 37.3 39.2 39.1
FAB 29.7 29.8 29.0 30.0 0.0 32.4 35.2 36.9 42.8 38.9 35.4 42.1 37.7
RANK 26.3 24.6 27.4 27.5 32.3 0.0 33.1 31.3 37.1 33.2 35.6 37.9 37.0
TMR 25.6 27.2 27.1 25.9 28.4 30.1 0.0 31.6 39.2 34.4 34.3 37.3 38.0
JAS 24.7 26.8 25.5 25.5 25.2 30.0 31.2 0.0 35.0 33.5 33.7 36.2 37.5
JAM 24.7 28.4 28.0 28.8 30.9 31.1 33.2 31.2 0.0 33.9 33.1 31.6 36.5
RICH 23.8 26.7 26.9 28.0 28.9 29.5 29.9 29.8 26.2 0.0 31.7 32.2 37.4
NFL 22.9 23.2 24.9 24.6 28.6 31.6 29.2 30.3 32.5 30.7 0.0 34.8 33.9
ZEG 22.9 26.0 25.9 26.4 26.9 28.9 29.3 27.8 27.0 29.1 30.9 0.0 34.3
DAMO 24.7 24.0 23.5 24.0 25.4 25.1 27.1 27.1 25.5 25.3 25.3 28.1 0.0

Quick Glossary
Ranker: The name of the fantasy football expert.
Site: The website for which the ranker writes.
W: Wins for the week.
L: Losses for the week.
PDPM: Point Differential Per Matchup. The average difference of a ranker’s score and his opponent’s score across all opponents.
W (YR): Total wins on the year.
L (YR): Total losses on the year.
PDPM (YR): Point Differential Per Matchup for all matchups on the year.