Week 14: Ranking the Rankers — Good Week for Naive Algorithms

Is anybody actually “good” at fantasy football? Ranking the Rankers is an ongoing experiment to try to answer this question. Each week 12 fantasy experts play each other in head-to-head matchups, based on their weekly player rankings. They also play a dim-witted computer algorithm named DAMO (Dumb-Ass Machine Orderer). For the details of how it all works, read this post.

Week 14 Results
[table]
Ranker, Site, W, L, PDPM, W (yr), L (yr), PDPM (yr)
DAMO, JZL, 12, 0, 5.7, 22, 133, -12.0
Dave Richard, CBS, 11, 1, 9.2, 90, 65, 3.4
Jason Smith, NFL, 10, 2, 6.5, 99, 56, 3.0
Composite Ranker, NFL, 8, 4, 6.6, 70, 85, -1.9
Matthew Berry, ESP, 7, 5, 0.1, 83, 72, 0.8
Eric Karabell, ESP, 7, 5, 3.2, 69, 86, -0.7
Michael Fabiano, NFL, 7, 5, 3.2, 115, 40, 6.6
Tristan Cockcroft, ESP, 6, 6, 2.4, 89, 66, 2.1
Adam Rank, NFL, 4, 8, -0.9, 62, 82, -1.1
Chris Harris, ESP, 3, 9, -2.3, 90, 65, 2.3
Marcus Grant, NFL, 2, 10, -7.6, 61, 94, -4.0
Jamey Eisenberg, CBS, 1, 11, -5.5, 84, 71, 3.4
Nathan Zegura, CBS, 0, 12, -20.6, 68, 87, -2.1
[/table]

Best Calls
QB: Tom Brady over Matthew Stafford, 16.4 PDPM
RB: LeSean McCoy over Reggie Bush, 14.2 PDPM
WR: Rod Streater over T.Y. Hilton, 13.7 PDPM
TE: Charles Clay over Jordan Reed, 9.0 PDPM
KR: Robbie Gould over Justin Tucker, 10.0 PDPM
DF: Buccaneers DST over Rams DST, 14.3 PDPM

Weekly Thoughts
Out of nowhere, the previously 10-133 DAMO pulled off the undefeated, 12-0 week.  This would be like if the 1899 Cleveland Spiders — arguably the worst franchise in the history of major American sports — swept three series in a row.  As it stands, DAMO’s 22-133 is now slightly better than that of the Spiders (20-134), so perhaps the legacy of Ossee Schrecongost is still safe.  Apparently it was a good week to go chalk.  A lot of rankers were (relatively) down on Peyton Manning.  But DAMO doesn’t know about silly cold-weather myths, and this week it told the rest of the rankers to shove it where the sun don’t shine.

All Matchup Scores
Cell (x, y) is the number of points ranker x scored against ranker y in their matchup. Bold denotes a winning score for ranker x.
[table]
, DAMO, RICH, JAS, NFL, TMR, KARA, FAB, COCK, RANK, HAR, MGR, JAM, ZEG
DAMO, 0.0, 33.0, 34.4, 30.8, 38.2, 36.4, 35.5, 33.7, 36.5, 36.4, 38.7, 37.2, 42.6
RICH, 31.9, 0.0, 34.6, 28.8, 36.8, 34.7, 35.3, 34.4, 35.6, 35.6, 37.3, 41.4, 46.2
JAS, 31.9, 28.5, 0.0, 28.6, 36.6, 34.5, 28.9, 31.8, 39.2, 39.0, 43.3, 37.9, 46.8
NFL, 26.7, 26.2, 27.5, 0.0, 34.8, 29.0, 30.2, 29.6, 36.3, 34.2, 38.7, 33.7, 44.3
TMR, 32.4, 26.9, 30.3, 27.1, 0.0, 32.8, 30.2, 34.0, 33.0, 36.9, 36.0, 33.5, 45.0
KARA, 33.4, 29.8, 34.1, 32.2, 31.4, 0.0, 33.5, 32.4, 35.2, 34.7, 37.1, 35.8, 45.8
FAB, 31.5, 25.7, 21.9, 24.6, 35.8, 33.5, 0.0, 30.8, 36.6, 37.8, 41.1, 33.3, 44.4
COCK, 30.6, 27.7, 30.7, 26.1, 33.4, 32.9, 29.4, 0.0, 32.4, 36.5, 34.3, 34.4, 45.8
RANK, 30.9, 27.3, 30.5, 25.9, 31.9, 30.4, 31.5, 29.6, 0.0, 35.1, 40.0, 33.9, 44.8
HAR, 30.9, 29.7, 30.5, 28.2, 32.7, 30.0, 31.3, 29.9, 34.3, 0.0, 36.4, 35.5, 42.9
MGR, 29.7, 24.6, 26.0, 20.4, 30.4, 28.5, 25.3, 27.7, 31.0, 33.1, 0.0, 30.0, 41.8
JAM, 29.0, 21.9, 27.4, 22.6, 30.4, 29.5, 26.3, 28.3, 27.9, 33.0, 29.9, 0.0, 41.5
ZEG, 26.2, 21.7, 21.2, 16.7, 24.3, 24.4, 21.1, 23.0, 24.5, 28.0, 26.4, 27.4, 0.0
[/table]
Quick Glossary
Ranker: The name of the fantasy football expert.
Site: The website for which the ranker writes.
W: Wins for the week.
L: Losses for the week.
PDPM: Point Differential Per Matchup. The average difference of a ranker’s score and his opponent’s score across all opponents.
W (YR): Total wins on the year.
L (YR): Total losses on the year.
PDPM (YR): Point Differential Per Matchup for all matchups on the year.